NFL Wins Pool Update
Last updated November 07, 2023
Standings
| Rank | Team | Wins | Remaining Games | Win % | Win % Rank | Projected Wins (FPI) | Projected Rank (FPI) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gavin Gray | 16 | 24 | 59.3% | 2 | 27.1 | 4 |
| 1 | Nick Boucher | 16 | 25 | 61.5% | 1 | 29.9 | 1 |
| 3 | Andrew Batchelor | 15 | 24 | 55.6% | 4 | 28.8 | 3 |
| 4 | Mike Thorne | 14 | 27 | 58.3% | 3 | 29.3 | 2 |
| 4 | Andrew Moeller | 14 | 25 | 53.8% | 5 | 26.1 | 6 |
| 6 | Matt Hogel | 13 | 25 | 50.0% | 6 | 26.2 | 5 |
| 7 | Dan Ellenberger | 12 | 26 | 48.0% | 8 | 25.1 | 7 |
| 7 | Karl Loiseau | 12 | 27 | 50.0% | 6 | 25.0 | 8 |
| 9 | Luke Phelan | 10 | 26 | 40.0% | 9 | 21.9 | 9 |
| 10 | Steve Creaser | 9 | 26 | 36.0% | 10 | 20.3 | 10 |
- Projected wins taken from ESPN FPI projections.
Expanded Standings
| Team | Wins |
Projected Wins |
Next Opponent |
Win Probability in Next Game |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin Gray | ||||
| Philadelphia Eagles | 8 | 12.9 | NA | |
| Atlanta Falcons | 4 | 8.1 | ARI | 0.54 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 4 | 6.1 | NYJ | 0.43 |
| Nick Boucher | ||||
| Baltimore Ravens | 7 | 12.1 | CLE | 0.7 |
| Cleveland Browns | 5 | 9.8 | BAL | 0.3 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 4 | 8.0 | NE | 0.55 |
| Andrew Batchelor | ||||
| Kansas City Chiefs | 7 | 12.5 | NA | |
| Minnesota Vikings | 5 | 9.1 | NO | 0.41 |
| Los Angeles Rams | 3 | 7.2 | NA | |
| Andrew Moeller | ||||
| Buffalo Bills | 5 | 10.0 | DEN | 0.75 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 5 | 9.3 | GB | 0.61 |
| Washington Commanders | 4 | 6.8 | SEA | 0.3 |
| Mike Thorne | ||||
| Detroit Lions | 6 | 11.1 | LAC | 0.57 |
| San Francisco 49ers | 5 | 11.0 | JAX | 0.61 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 3 | 7.2 | TEN | 0.54 |
| Matt Hogel | ||||
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 6 | 11.0 | SF | 0.39 |
| New Orleans Saints | 5 | 9.6 | MIN | 0.59 |
| Chicago Bears | 2 | 5.6 | CAR | 0.62 |
| Dan Ellenberger | ||||
| Miami Dolphins | 6 | 11.5 | NA | |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 5 | 9.9 | HOU | 0.72 |
| Carolina Panthers | 1 | 3.7 | CHI | 0.38 |
| Karl Loiseau | ||||
| Seattle Seahawks | 5 | 9.0 | WAS | 0.7 |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 4 | 9.6 | DET | 0.43 |
| Denver Broncos | 3 | 6.4 | BUF | 0.25 |
| Luke Phelan | ||||
| Dallas Cowboys | 5 | 11.0 | NYG | 0.91 |
| Green Bay Packers | 3 | 7.1 | PIT | 0.39 |
| New York Giants | 2 | 3.8 | DAL | 0.09 |
| Steve Creaser | ||||
| New York Jets | 4 | 7.6 | LV | 0.57 |
| Tennessee Titans | 3 | 7.4 | TB | 0.46 |
| New England Patriots | 2 | 5.3 | IND | 0.45 |
- Win probability calculated from covers.com odds
Weekly Head-to-Heads
Leverage measured by:
* Circles to the top right are games between people closest to first
place
* Bigger circles indicate games that are more likely to be closely
contested
Strength of Schedule in the coming weeks
Draft Analysis
| Team | Wins |
Draft Spot |
Expected Wins |
Performance vs. Expectation |
Better Choices |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin Gray | |||||
| Philadelphia Eagles | 8 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 |
| Atlanta Falcons | 4 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 4 | 27 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Nick Boucher | |||||
| Baltimore Ravens | 7 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 |
| Cleveland Browns | 5 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 2 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 4 | 28 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Andrew Batchelor | |||||
| Kansas City Chiefs | 7 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| Minnesota Vikings | 5 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
| Los Angeles Rams | 3 | 29 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Mike Thorne | |||||
| San Francisco 49ers | 5 | 3 | 7 | -2 | 3 |
| Detroit Lions | 6 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 0 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 3 | 30 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Andrew Moeller | |||||
| Buffalo Bills | 5 | 4 | 6 | -1 | 4 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 5 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
| Washington Commanders | 4 | 25 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Matt Hogel | |||||
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 6 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 0 |
| New Orleans Saints | 5 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 1 |
| Chicago Bears | 2 | 23 | 3 | -1 | 6 |
| Dan Ellenberger | |||||
| Cincinnati Bengals | 5 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 3 |
| Miami Dolphins | 6 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 |
| Carolina Panthers | 1 | 26 | 3 | -2 | 5 |
| Karl Loiseau | |||||
| Los Angeles Chargers | 4 | 8 | 5 | -1 | 7 |
| Seattle Seahawks | 5 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
| Denver Broncos | 3 | 21 | 4 | -1 | 4 |
| Luke Phelan | |||||
| Dallas Cowboys | 5 | 6 | 6 | -1 | 4 |
| New York Giants | 2 | 19 | 4 | -2 | 8 |
| Green Bay Packers | 3 | 22 | 4 | -1 | 4 |
| Steve Creaser | |||||
| New York Jets | 4 | 10 | 5 | -1 | 7 |
| Tennessee Titans | 3 | 12 | 5 | -2 | 11 |
| New England Patriots | 2 | 24 | 3 | -1 | 6 |
Draft Results
